well, let's see, pick whatever prediction you want below about the next year or so and beyond:
--this morning had some note as two of my sites about something really coming to test Obama in the first 6 months of his presidency; not just from Biden, from some foreign leaders and international intelligence chatter .... wonderful news. then again there's some feeling thatsomething might happen during the Election and Obama's inauguration.
Economic/Financial situation:
--Deflationary recession/depression;
--Inflationary probably Hyperinflationary economic contraction/recession/depression;
--Bailouts for 3 US automakers to be a "bridge loan" until the economy improves in the next year so before the end of 2009 people will be buying cars again;
--Contraction/Recession will last 12-18 months; roubini says this as well as others so does that mean it started in jan 2008 or started Fall 2008. that 6-8 months makes a difference to how people plan or think about it;
--After the severe recession--most blogs I read at least say we'll have at least 12 months of severity, more sever than anything in the post-WW2 era--there will be the oppotunity of a lifetime to buy stocks and equities;
--Or the severe recession after a year or so will morph into a depression, Depression 2.0 or Greater Depression depending on your point of view;
--Or at what would be the beginning of an upswing in the economoy, oil depletion on the downside of peak oil will be setting in and there will be NO upswing ever again for industrial society.
--If there's any kind of growth, due to the oil shortages, depletion rates and no if any new oil projects of ANY kind, it will be so very small it'll be negligible;
--After the recession will just come the Long Depression;
--Reduction to subsistence farming, rudimentary technology, real poverty everwhere in the world so that the world will be a much bigger place than it is now;
--You could also add in, madness, depression and suicide for many people facing the decline in their lives; disease possibilities ; starvation; great homelessness for many; more violence probably and just freaking out all the time.
--Public services, police, fire, emergency personnel will dwindle as local entities have no more money to spend on public services.
--then of course, there's climate change and how fast it's coming and when it will effect food supplies and what will it do to the weather in North America when there is no more ice at all at the North Pole anytime of year?????????????
--this of course doesn't cover the lack of electricty in southern Arizona where people will just go totally insane and kill each other and themselves over the crushing heat we get here ...
--I don't understand why some economists, financiers/bloggers prediction inflation and other prediction deflation ....
--If the US defaults, does that mean everything in our bank accounts dissapears like it never existed ....
--do I really need to get a new regrigerator since they might stop making them .... I could really use a new refrigerator--it almost freezes everything put into it! it's pretty old ...
Makes me wonder why I should pay my bills and keep going .. but I'm so curious to see how it all plays out! ;)
I stopped at Linen's N Things and Merwyn's today to see what stuff was available; they are both going out of business and big signs hang outside about liquidation sales. didnt' buy anything--I don't need anything but I think about putting stuff away for the future constantly and I wonder what people will do for Christmas shopping next year. I wondered that last hear at this time, too. :/
Circuit city doesn't have any signs up yet but the Phoenix stores are all being closed for good.
It's creepy to think how many other's may be going to be in the same situation even before Christmas/end of Year this year. :(
It's been 8 weeks since the mid-September stuff started and just about that long until the end of the year.
On a higher note: 70s weather is here and the cats are all doing well and so am I.
cheers,
Shamba
Showing posts with label peak oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label peak oil. Show all posts
Monday, November 10, 2008
Sunday, April 27, 2008
Personal Preparation List some accomplished, some not yet
I wrote this list about 6 months ago before the end of 2007. Some of these things I've accompllished some of them I havent. As of this date, 4-27-08, though, I will almost be done with any need for my $45.95 a month storage unit that I've had since my dad died and Mom moved out of the house. there was no furniture but a lot of other things I kept there--pictures, slides, various things Mom collected like all those glass cats my brother gave her! some of my own old toys, many(!) Christmas decorations--why do those accumulate so?! I had to make a decision about everything in there I've touched in the past year or so and it's is quite draining to just make a decision and not reminisce or "think" about the thing in my hands. The last 4 boxes will come home with me in the next 2 weeks.
Still to do or get finished: Have enough food storage for a few months, emergency supplies put together, solar oven to order, new gate, too.
I was planning on retiring after 25 years at my librarian jobs (combined years) anyway but the peak oil, peak climate, peak everything issues came to be part of my motivation. Have been retired 10 months now and it’s very nice but I need to do something to make a little more money coming in.
1. Paid off credit card debt totally from money I got from the lawsuit for a slip and fall that resulted in 2 broken arms in 2005. Arms healed up well and are functioning well.
2. Thinking I should buy some of the solar powered stuff I see advertised at different places. Not solar panels but other kinds of things—solar oven for example?
3. Thinking I should check sewing supplies and get a lighter weight sewing machine, nothing with all the embroidery things in it though!, and sewing again. My old machine is probably functional but it’s very heavy to handle and I don’t have just one place I can leave it up all the time.
4. Learning one Tai chi form from the classes at my yoga studio. Already have several years of hatha yoga skills and taught it for a while.
5. Walking at least 2 miles every day along our canal to lose a few more pounds and increased some physical stamina.
6. Lost enough weight to fit much better into clothes I like that I’ve have for a few years.
7. Learning how to cook more stuff from scratch. I didn’t have time to do much of this when working and in a hot climate in the summer inside cooking sucks totally! Hence, the idea of a solar oven and learn to use it. –Haven’t done this yet.
8. Getting things fixed in the house; like rewiring before copper wire and other goods and services related to it become just too expensive.
9. Changed lots of light bulbs that are the non incandescent kind. These are cooler in this climate anyway. Incandescent lights are terribly hot in the summer in southern Arizona.
10. More careful about turning out lights when I’m not using them. This was annoying when my brother visits and uses more lights than I do; he wasn’t willing to sit in the dark as much as I am.
11. Kept my mother’s cooking utensils, many knitting and crocheting needles and other basic supplies when I had to move her from her apartment to the dementia unit of the assisted housing where she lives now. I know have so many fiber arts supplies it’s overwhelming.
12. Thought about buying more insulation for the house.
13. Some of this process the past year has been observing the use of energy, all the stuff there is in the stores—food and things—and watching prices going up for food and energy. All of this is taking in all the information about some great changes that are coming I know for the latter part of my life and I wonder how much “less” of everything including quality of life is going to be different that my parent’s was.
14. Going to physical therapy for the problems in my two shoulders which the octopod thinks are tendonitis and a couple of bone spurs. With the inflammatory and exercises, hopefully I will get rid of this chronic problem and be able to do the exercises that will keep the bone spurs from getting worse. I’ve got the weights at home for most home exercises. The ones for my two broken elbows worked very well for their purpose.
15. I can’t see trying to grow my own food at this point but I could find a way to keep more food supplies on hand—and more food supplies on hand for my 8-10 cats.
16. Got tote bags to use for grocery stores and other places instead of using plastic bags. I keep them in the car so I’ll use them! Too easy to forget them.
17. Bought some patio chairs at the local St. Vincent De Paul store. Their clothes aren’t much but the chairs and furniture look in very good condition.
18. Don’t need to buy much as far as Christmas goes since it’s my brother and an elderly mother who mostly wants time with us and not stuff; Have a few friends to buy for some small gifts though.
19. I still love all the electronic stuff in the world but my old digital cameras works fine with the new computer. I bought a little more expensive one expecting it will last at least 4-5 years. Old scanner however doesn’t work at all with Vista. No support for it at the HP.com website so I’ve been looking at others. December might be a good month for sales of this kind of thing.
20. Next year, December 2007 right now, more stuff to actually act on. The psychological/emotional stuff is important to consider when facing a “life of less stuff and not every ending expansion”.
Still to do or get finished: Have enough food storage for a few months, emergency supplies put together, solar oven to order, new gate, too.
I was planning on retiring after 25 years at my librarian jobs (combined years) anyway but the peak oil, peak climate, peak everything issues came to be part of my motivation. Have been retired 10 months now and it’s very nice but I need to do something to make a little more money coming in.
1. Paid off credit card debt totally from money I got from the lawsuit for a slip and fall that resulted in 2 broken arms in 2005. Arms healed up well and are functioning well.
2. Thinking I should buy some of the solar powered stuff I see advertised at different places. Not solar panels but other kinds of things—solar oven for example?
3. Thinking I should check sewing supplies and get a lighter weight sewing machine, nothing with all the embroidery things in it though!, and sewing again. My old machine is probably functional but it’s very heavy to handle and I don’t have just one place I can leave it up all the time.
4. Learning one Tai chi form from the classes at my yoga studio. Already have several years of hatha yoga skills and taught it for a while.
5. Walking at least 2 miles every day along our canal to lose a few more pounds and increased some physical stamina.
6. Lost enough weight to fit much better into clothes I like that I’ve have for a few years.
7. Learning how to cook more stuff from scratch. I didn’t have time to do much of this when working and in a hot climate in the summer inside cooking sucks totally! Hence, the idea of a solar oven and learn to use it. –Haven’t done this yet.
8. Getting things fixed in the house; like rewiring before copper wire and other goods and services related to it become just too expensive.
9. Changed lots of light bulbs that are the non incandescent kind. These are cooler in this climate anyway. Incandescent lights are terribly hot in the summer in southern Arizona.
10. More careful about turning out lights when I’m not using them. This was annoying when my brother visits and uses more lights than I do; he wasn’t willing to sit in the dark as much as I am.
11. Kept my mother’s cooking utensils, many knitting and crocheting needles and other basic supplies when I had to move her from her apartment to the dementia unit of the assisted housing where she lives now. I know have so many fiber arts supplies it’s overwhelming.
12. Thought about buying more insulation for the house.
13. Some of this process the past year has been observing the use of energy, all the stuff there is in the stores—food and things—and watching prices going up for food and energy. All of this is taking in all the information about some great changes that are coming I know for the latter part of my life and I wonder how much “less” of everything including quality of life is going to be different that my parent’s was.
14. Going to physical therapy for the problems in my two shoulders which the octopod thinks are tendonitis and a couple of bone spurs. With the inflammatory and exercises, hopefully I will get rid of this chronic problem and be able to do the exercises that will keep the bone spurs from getting worse. I’ve got the weights at home for most home exercises. The ones for my two broken elbows worked very well for their purpose.
15. I can’t see trying to grow my own food at this point but I could find a way to keep more food supplies on hand—and more food supplies on hand for my 8-10 cats.
16. Got tote bags to use for grocery stores and other places instead of using plastic bags. I keep them in the car so I’ll use them! Too easy to forget them.
17. Bought some patio chairs at the local St. Vincent De Paul store. Their clothes aren’t much but the chairs and furniture look in very good condition.
18. Don’t need to buy much as far as Christmas goes since it’s my brother and an elderly mother who mostly wants time with us and not stuff; Have a few friends to buy for some small gifts though.
19. I still love all the electronic stuff in the world but my old digital cameras works fine with the new computer. I bought a little more expensive one expecting it will last at least 4-5 years. Old scanner however doesn’t work at all with Vista. No support for it at the HP.com website so I’ve been looking at others. December might be a good month for sales of this kind of thing.
20. Next year, December 2007 right now, more stuff to actually act on. The psychological/emotional stuff is important to consider when facing a “life of less stuff and not every ending expansion”.
Updates
K. got himself into a great mess of trouble 2 mons. ago with the local La Jolla issue sof children's Pool vs. Seal's Beach. Made 2 emergency trips to there to see what I could do. His lawyer said this should be a wake up call for him and me. for him for sure.
Anyway all of that has really gotten to me and my handsome orange cat Omar has disappeared. that just adds to the atmosphere of depression that comes and goes in my head the past 2 months. He is at my flickr.com links under any of the Cats headings.
Food prices are beginning to look frightening as they climb and climb steadily everyweek. Shortages of food are appearing serious everywhere in the world--rice in particular, maybe wheat or other things will follow. Great! then we'll have $5 gallons of gas and $5 loaves of bread!
Anyway all of that has really gotten to me and my handsome orange cat Omar has disappeared. that just adds to the atmosphere of depression that comes and goes in my head the past 2 months. He is at my flickr.com links under any of the Cats headings.
Food prices are beginning to look frightening as they climb and climb steadily everyweek. Shortages of food are appearing serious everywhere in the world--rice in particular, maybe wheat or other things will follow. Great! then we'll have $5 gallons of gas and $5 loaves of bread!
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